As Heavy Rain Continues to Blanket The Area, Minor Flooding of Area Rivers Are Expected

October 8, 2017 10am Advisory 17

Warning & Watches

  • The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a Flood Warning for The Blackwater River Near Baker from this morning until late Tuesday night. At 6 PM Saturday the stage was 1.7 feet. Minor flooding is forecast. Flood stage is 11 feet. Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue to rise near 14.6 feet by tomorrow early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage by late Tuesday night. At 14.5 feet flooding of West Park in Baker.
  • The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a flood warning for the Shoal River Near Crestview from this evening until Monday afternoon. At 9 AM Sunday the stage was 6.6 feet. Minor flooding is forecast. Flood stage is 8 feet. Forecast to rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to rise near 8.3 feet by after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage by Monday. At 8.5 feet lowland flooding will diminish as the river drops below 8 feet.

 

Tropical Storm Nate:

  • Location: 33.1 N  87.3 W
  • About 40 mi SW of Birmingham, AL
  • Maximum Sustained Winds: 35 mph
  • Present Movement: NNE or 30 degrees at 24 mph
  • Minimum Central Pressure: 996 mb / 29.42 inches of mercury

At 10:00 AM CDT, the center of Tropical Depression Nate was located near latitude 33.1 North, longitude 87.3 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 24 mph.  A turn toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected during the next couple of days.  On the forecast track, Nate’s center will continue to move inland across the Deep South, Tennessee Valley, and central Appalachian Mountains through Monday.

Surface observations indicate that the maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph with higher gusts. Little change in strength is predicted during the next couple of days, but Nate is forecast to become post-tropical on Monday or Tuesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb or 29.42 inches of mercury.

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