Nate Rapidly Weakening But Storm Surge Flooding Continues, Heavy Rainfall Spreading Over The Southeastern United States

October 8, 2017 7am Advisory 16A

Warning & Watches

  • Tornado watch 498 is in effect until 10:00 AM for Bay, Calhoun, Gulf, Holmes, Jackson, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa, Walton and Washington Counties.
  • Flash Flood Watch is in effect to include portions of south central Alabama and northwest Florida, including the following areas, in south central Alabama, Covington and Crenshaw Okaloosa County in Florida.
  • A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for Crestview and Laurel Hill. During a tropical storm warning peak wind could be 20-30 mph with gusts to 50 mph

Tropical Storm Nate:

  • Location: 32.0 N  88.0 W
  • About 50 mi ESE of Meridian, MS
  • About 95 mi WSW of Montgomery, AL
  • Maximum Sustained Winds: 45 mph
  • Present Movement: NNE or 25 degrees at 23 mph
  • Minimum Central Pressure: 994 mb / 29.35 inches of mercury

At 7:00 AM CDT, the center of Tropical Storm Nate was located by NOAA Doppler weather radars and surface observations near latitude 32.0 North, longitude 88.0 West.  Nate is moving toward the north-northeast near 23 mph. A turn toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected during the next couple of days.  On the forecast track, Nate’s center will continue to move inland across the Deep South, Tennessee Valley, and central Appalachian Mountains through Monday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph with higher gusts.  Nate is expected to continue to quickly weaken as it moves farther inland. It should degenerate into a remnant low late Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles primarily southeast of the center over water. A wind gust to 58 mph was reported at Destin, Florida within the past couple of hours.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb 29.35 inches of mercury.

Water levels of around 3.0 to 3.5 ft above Mean Higher High Water have recently been reported by National Ocean Service gauges at Pensacola, Florida, and Mobile Bay, Alabama.

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